The theory behind 2026
Ten HSC diagrams and ten economic theories, each applied to Australia right now. Choose a model from the menu and switch scenarios, then pick any theory and move the sliders.
Aggregate demand & aggregate supply
Aggregate demand (C + I + G + X − M) meets short-run aggregate supply at E₀, on the long-run AS curve: the economy is at full employment (Y₀ = Yf) with stable inflation.
Australia was close to this point in early 2025: unemployment of about 4.1% sat near the RBA’s estimate of full employment and inflation was back inside the 2–3% band.
Economic theories
Pick any theory · every slider updates the chartPiketty: r > g
When the return on capital (r) is higher than the growth rate of the economy (g), wealth that is already owned grows faster than incomes — so wealth concentrates over time, and inheritance matters more.
Australian wealth is twice as unequal as income: a wealth Gini of 0.606 against 0.307 for income. Rising home prices have handed large, lightly taxed gains to owners — a local version of r > g — which is why 2026 debates focus on capital gains tax and negative gearing.
Returns tend to fall as capital piles up (diminishing returns); much Australian wealth is spread through homes and compulsory super; and taxes, spending and splitting estates erode large fortunes.
Distribution of income and wealth · causes and consequences of inequality · the role of taxation